2016 – Top 250 – Point Leagues

I am very proud to share my 2016 top 250 players in points leagues. There seems to be less people basing projections on Roto formats. Those of us that think Roto can be boring compared to points leagues would appreciate some more bullets for the gun in our upcoming Drafts & Auctions.

1 Mike Trout LAA OF1
2 Clayton Kershaw LAD SP1
3 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B1
4 Bryce Harper WAS OF2
5 Manny Machado BAL 3B1
6 Josh Donaldson TOR 3B2
7 Jose Altuve HOU 2B1
8 Max Scherzer WAS SP2
9 Andrew McCutchen PIT OF3
10 Joey Votto CIN 1B2
11 Giancarlo Stanton MIA OF4
12 Jose Bautista TOR OF5
13 Nolan Arenado COL 3B3
14 Carlos Correa HOU SS1
15 Mookie Betts BOS OF6
16 A.J. Pollack ARI OF7
17 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B3
18 Kris Bryant CHC 3B4
19 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B4
20 Chris Sale CHW SP3
21 David Price BOS SP4
22 Chris Davis BAL 1B5
23 Dee Gordon MIA 2B2
24 Edwin Encarnacion TOR 1B6
25 Todd Frazier CHW 3B5
26 J.D. Martinez DET OF8
27 Matt Carpenter STL 3B6
28 Charlie Blackmon COL OF9
29 Jose Abreau CHW 1B7
30 Jake Arrieta CHC SP5
31 Miguel Sano MIN DH1
32 George Springer HOU OF10
33 Carlos Gomez HOU OF11
34 David Ortiz BOS DH2
35 Kyle Seager SEA 3B7
36 Nelson Cruz SEA OF12
37 Madison Bumgarner SF SP6
38 Corey Kluber CLE SP7
39 Starling Marte PIT OF13
40 Matt Harvey NYM SP8
41 Justin Upton DET OF14
42 Yoenis Cespedes NYM OF15
43 Brian Dozer MIN 2B3
44 Adrian Gonzalez LAD 1B8
45 Buster Posey SF C1
46 Prince Fielder TEX DH3
47 Gerrit Cole PIT SP9
48 Carlos Gonzalez COL OF16
49 Adam Jones BAL OF17
50 Lorenzo Cain KC OF18
51 Zack Greinke ARI SP10
52 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS2
53 Stephen Strasburg WAS SP11
54 Robinson Cano SEA 2B4
55 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B9
56 Carlos Carrasco CLE SP12
57 Albert Pujols LAA 1B10
58 Jacob DeGrom NYM SP13
59 Jason Heyward CHC OF19
60 Anthony Rendon WAS 3B8
61 Maikel Franco PHI 3B9
62 Michael Brantley CLE OF20
63 Dallas Keuchel HOU SP14
64 Kenley Jansen LAD RP1
65 Gregory Polanco PIT OF21
66 Corey Seager LAD SS3
67 Adrian Beltre TEX 3B10
68 David Peralta ARI OF22
69 Troy Tulowitzki TOR SS4
70 Ryan Braun MIL OF23
71 Jacoby Ellsbury NYY OF24
72 Hunter Pence SF OF25
73 Francisco Lindor CLE SS5
74 Matt Kemp LAD OF26
75 Christian Yelich MIA OF27
76 Corey Dickerson TB OF28
77 Ian Kinsler DET 2B5
78 Adam Eaton CHW OF29
79 Yasiel Puig LAD OF30
80 Johnny Cueto SF SP15
81 Jason Kipnis CLE 2B6
82 Carlos Santana CLE 1B11
83 Jose Fernandez MIA SP16
84 Wade Davis KC RP2
85 Curtis Granderson NYM OF31
86 Rougned Odor TEX 2B7
87 Randal Grichuk STL OF32
88 Lucas Duda NYM 1B12
89 Brandon Belt SF 1B13
90 Jay Bruce CIN OF33
91 Ben Zobrist CHC 2B8
92 Noah Syndergaard NYM SP17
93 Daniel Murphy WAS 2B9
94 Felix Hernandez SEA SP18
95 Shin Soo Choo TEX OF34
96 Denard Span SF OF35
97 Mark Melancon PIT RP3
98 Kyle Schwarber CHC C2
99 Craig Kimbrel BOS RP4
100 Ender Inciarte ATL OF36
101 Sonny Gray OAK SP19
102 Trevor Rosenthal STL RP5
103 Evan Longoria TB 3B11
104 Brett Gardner NYY OF37
105 Kole Calhoun LAA OF38
106 Jon Lester CHC SP20
107 Neil Walker PIT 2B10
108 Elvis Andrus TEX SS6
109 Justin Turner LAD 3B12
110 Ben Revere WAS OF39
111 Billy Burns OAK OF40
112 Brandon Crawford SF SS7
113 Hanley Ramirez BOS 1B14
114 Jordan Zimmermann DET SP21
115 Cody Allen CLE RP6
116 Kevin Pillar TOR OF41
117 Kendrys Morales KC DH4
118 Gerardo Parra COL OF42
119 Jeurys Familia NYM RP7
120 Mark Teixeira NYY 1B15
121 Zach Britton BAL RP8
122 Jeff Samardzija SF SP22
123 Joc Pederson LAD OF43
124 Kolten Wong STL 2B11
125 Evan Gattis HOU OF44
126 Steven Souza Jr. TB OF45
127 Delino Deshields TEX OF46
128 Alex Rodriguez NYY DH5
129 Brett Lawrie OAK 3B13
130 Byung Ho Park MIN 1B16
131 Cole Hamels TEX SP23
132 Ketel Marte SEA SS8
133 Ian Desmond TEX OF47
134 Dj LeMahieu COL 2B12
135 Danny Salazar CLE SP24
136 Aroldis Chapmen NYY RP9
137 Garret Richards LAA SP25
138 Carlos Martinez STL SP26
139 Marcus Stroman TOR SP27
140 Ken Giles HOU RP10
141 Logan Forsythe TB 2B13
142 Billy Hamilton CIN OF48
143 Kevin Kiermaier TB OF49
144 Joe Panik SF 2B14
145 Dustin Pedroia BOS 2B15
146 Adam Wainwright STL SP28
147 David Robertson CHW RP11
148 Addison Russell CHC SS9
149 Dextor Fowler CHC OF50
150 Mike Moustakes KC 3B14
151 Jose Quintana CHW SP29
152 Pedro Alvarez BAL DH6
153 Josh Harrison PIT 3B15
154 Josh Reddick OAK OF51
155 Jonathon Lucroy MIL C3
156 Brad Miller TB SS10
157 Alex Gordon KC OF52
158 Michael Conforto NYM OF53
159 Hector Rondon CHC RP12
160 Jake McGee COL RP13
161 AJ Ramos MIA RP14
162 Michael Pineda NYY SP30
163 Melky Cabrera CHW OF54
164 Matt Duffy SF 3B16
165 Tyson Ross SD SP31
166 Jung Ho Kang PIT SS11
167 Justin Verlander DET SP32
168 Jonathon Papelbon WAS RP15
169 Wil Myers SD 1B17
170 Masahiro Tanaka NYY SP33
171 Victor Martinez DET DH7
172 Mark Trumbo BAL OF55
173 Justin Bour MIA 1B18
174 Matt Holliday STL OF56
175 Francisco Rodriguez DET RP16
176 Stephen Piscotty STL OF57
177 Khris Davis OAK OF58
178 Hisashi Iwakuma SEA SP34
179 Francisco Liriano PIT SP35
180 Hyun Soo Kim BAL OF59
181 Marcus Semien OAK SS13
182 Nick Castellanos DET 3B17
183 Phil Hughes MIN SP36
184 John Lackey CHC SP37
185 Rajai Davis OAK OF60
186 Vincent Velasquez PHI SP38
187 Ryan Zimmerman WAS 1B19
188 Alcedes Escobar KC SS14
189 Mitch Moreland TEX OF62
190 Jason Werth WAS OF63
191 Danny Valencia OAK 3B18
192 Erick Aybar ATL SS15
193 Cesar Hernandez PHI 2B16
194 Starlin Castro NYY 2B17
195 Marcell Ozuna MIA OF64
196 Michael Wacha STL SP39
197 Collin McHugh HOU SP40
198 Shawn Tolleson TEX RP17
199 Brian McCann NYY C4
200 Salvador Perez KC C5
201 Howie Kendrick LAD 2B18
202 Wei Yin Chen MIA SP41
203 Drew Smyly TB SP42
204 Jean Segura ARI SS16
205 Trevor Plouffe MIN 3B19
206 Asdrubel Cabrera NYM SS17
207 Brad Phillips CIN 2B20
208 Brandon Moss STL OF65
209 Drew Storen TOR RP18
210 Carlos Beltran NYY OF66
211 Byron Buxton MIN OF67
212 Devon Travis TOT 2B21
213 Adam Lind SEA 1B21
214 Russell Martin TOR C6
215 Travis d’Arnaud NYM C7
216 Shelby Miller ARI SP44
217 Yordano Ventura KC SP45
218 Julio Teheran ATL SP46
219 Scott Kazmir LAD SP47
220 Brad Boxberger TB RP19
221 Nick Markakis ATL OF69
222 Odubel Herrera PHI OF70
223 Rick Porcello BOS SP48
224 Mike Fiers HOU SP49
225 Brad Ziegler ARI RP20
226 Huston Street LAA RP21
227 Yangervis Solarte SD 3B21
228 Kyle Hendricks CHC SP50
229 Raisel Iglesias CIN SP51
230 David Wright NYM 3B22
231 Luis Valbuena HOU 3B23
232 C.J. Cron LAA 1B22
233 Steven Matz NYM SP52
234 Anibal Sanchez DET SP53
235 Sean Doolittle OAK RP22
236 Jake Odorizzi TB SP54
237 Andrew Heaney LAA SP55
238 Jonathan Schoop BAL 2B23
239 Derek Norris SD C8
240 Taijuan Walker SEA SP58
241 Jamie Garcia STL SP59
242 Patrick Corbin ARI SP60
243 Matt Wieters BAL C9
244 James Shields SD SP62
245 Anthony DeSclafani CIN SP63
246 Stephan Vogt OAK C10
247 Jason Hammel CHC SP64
248 Devin Mesoraco CIN C11
249 Kevin Gausman BAL SP65
250 J.T. Realmuto MIA C12

Stars & Scrubs

As I continue to spend time around the mock draft boards I am finding that other than a few infield positions the quality and depth available has gotten so plentiful that it appears there is no better time then now to adopt the “Stars and scrubs” motto.

That being spend about $200 of your $260 budget on star players that will make up the core of your team then using the remaining $60 to fill in the say 15 or so positions still open on guys that have high upside hoping that you may on maybe 5 of those. The remaining 10 players if they are not cutting their weight can be switched out with players claimed off of waivers.

This is not the “safe” way of constructing a team but, you know what they say “go big or go home” safe will usually get you fifth place. We don’t play for fifth place right?

If you play in keeper leagues like I do then the best way to start amazing big time talent is to plant the seed now. Invest your money in youth. 1st & 2nd year players who come at a lower price for now at least until they have that “break out” type of year. Lock them in at that low price. Just like the stock market right? Buy low and sell high. Hey, It works for Billy Beane.

Auction Strategy for Catchers

I have been doing mock drafts on ESPN every morning, day and to my wife’s chagrin nights as well. As I practice and see who I really want to get in my H2H Points league I have noticed a few things.

Catchers – Assuming that you don’t get Posey, I am not seeing too much of a reason to   run and grab a guy from the next tier. Catchers are so unpredictable and they get so beaten up and injured all the time. Why not grab an up and comer for 1 or 2 dollars. I am seeing a great amount of people ignoring the likes of Yasmani Grandal, J.T. Realmuto and Blake Swihart. Since Catchers get 1 or two nights off a week then why not spend your money on a guy that plays everyday and can hit you 30-35+ home runs?

Last season i loved getting Travis D’arnaud for $5. If he didn’t get injured  twice it was looking like he would give Posey a run for the money on the top fantasy catcher in 2015.

Luckily when he went down i swooped in to grab Stephen Vogt as he was surging. There are always guys to pick up at catcher. It can be tough to see but, from now on i am going with one dollar catchers and keeping an eye out for the Wellington Castillo, Stephen Vogt types that come out of nowhere.

2016 – Top Outfielders (31-40) – Under 30

31Gerardo Parra 28, COL – After bouncing around to a bunch of teams for the last couple of years Parra signed on to play outfield for the Rockies this coming season. Parra who is known for his batting average,  speed and the amount of defensive runs saved brings a lot of skills  to the team. Before he plays half of his home games i want to explain why i have him ranked so high. Over the last few years Parra has been good for 150+ hits 30(ish) doubles and double digits in home runs and stolen bases. Another thing that impressed the Rockies is his ability to hit for a high average (.291 last year). So here is a guy who is already a very good hitter. Now he will play half his games in Colorado. I see a nice bump in his stats this season. My projections for 2016 are .307/91/15/78/12

32Billy Burns 26, OAK – Living up to his namesake this dude is fast. Last season Billy hit a few extra base hits (32 total in 2015) so he does have some ability with the bat. (153 hits) on his way to batting .294. A 4.7% walk rate is troubling as that gave him a wOBA of .317. Not at all what the A’s want from a lead off hitter. Batting at the top of the order is where Burns receives the status of a “must own” in all leagues. If Burns can not get the walk rate up and he gets moved to say batting 8th or 9th it makes him not too different from a Jarrod Dyson. Basically only producing speed numbers. My projections for 2016 are .265/74/3/39/44

33. Evan Gattis 29, HOU – He is also known as “That guy who doesn’t wear batting gloves”. Over the last two seasons Gattis has seen his fantasy value take a nose dive even with his mind exploding ability to lead the National League in triples…yeah, that might not be repeatable. In most leagues Gattis will start the year eligible at just one position. You know that one that comes with so much position flexibility. The elusive designated hitter spot. After hitting for a meager average of.246 and an underwhelming .317 wOBA. He will need to continue providing 30 HR 100 RBI type seasons. My Projections for 2016 are .250/67/28/84/0

34. Michael Conforto 22, NYM –   After getting his first taste of national exposure in the 2015 Futures Game, Conforto was called up to the Mets not long after the second half of the season started. Hard to believe it was just over 13 months after he was selected by the Mets in the first round of the 2014 amateur draft. . While he had much success last season batting .270 with 9 home runs and 26 RBI’s and an impressive hard hit rate of 40.9. Some regression will be due but he is off to a very impressive start. My projections for 2016 are .247/58/18/65/1.

35. Kole Calhoun 28, LAA – Mike Trout’s mini me has had his fair share of problems staying healthy and with the decrease in walks each year to pair with a growing strike  out rate. Now for the positives, while 2015 was not his best year with the bat thus far he was able to stay healthy. Healthy to the tune of 686 plate appearances. This is a huge number in fantasy especially since despite only having a batting average of .256 he was able to have those At bats before Mike Trout. He got a few pitches to swing at. so all of the other counting stats were pretty good. His 2015 line was .256/78/26/83/4. Not bad for a guy people are not very excited about coming into 2016. Another great chance to buy low on a guy people are ignoring. My projections for 2016 are .266/77/21/82/7

36. Jay Bruce 28, CIN – Here might be a great example of a change in scenery would do him some good. Seems like the Jays where close to acquiring him this Winter that fell through. Not to say he cant get traded tomorrow but we have seen Bruce who after three seasons of 30+ home runs and a .260ish batting average has had 2 seasons of “is it over yet” baseball. After being such a highly touted Top Prospect in the minors it sure seems like he is burnt out from being with the Reds and it i not just his Facebook status of “it’s complicated”. Hoping he gets traded soon to bring him back to fantasy relevance. My projections for 2016 are .244/60/23/73/5

37. Dexter Fowler 29, CHC – Here is an example of a guy jumping 10 spots in my outfield rankings primarily because of the team he signed with. I think everyone agrees that if you have a starting role in the Chicago Cubs Batting order then some eye popping counting spots are likely to follow. Fowler had an awesome season on the North Side of Chi town last year. It may have been a career year but, at the very least he takes the pressure off Jason Heyward sliding into the center field and lead off hitter. My projections for 2016 are .260/76/12/65/14

38. Khris Davis 28, OAK – On the surface going from Miller Park to the O.co stadium in Oakland seems like a very bad thing for his production numbers.Davis has brought to the table and lets face it this is the only reason we draft him, his 30 home run potential. Being in Oakland he will face a crowded outfield roster and Outfield dimensions that make you think he needs to hit it close to Alcatraz before it gets in the seats. Khris should easily walk into 20 home runs regardless so we will see how the rest works itself out. My projections for 2016 are .263/54/23/61/4

39. Delino DeShields 23, TEX –  DeShields looked prime to be a star for the Astros a few years back and then i heard he was hit in the face by a hard fastball. I vividly remember this because  i had the honor of coming a cross a picture of his face from the Hospital. Its a picture I will have trouble removing the image from my memory. It didn’t look like he would b e able to see again. Some would not have the gall to get back in the batters box after that so one would understand being slow to get your confidence back and feel comfortable again at the plate. After only amassing 6 games played above AA ball DeShields was called up to fill in for a Texas Rangers outfield that was being hit hard by the injury bug. He was never sent back down so its fair to say he played very well. Well enough that Delino stands today as the projected starting center fielder and lead off man for a Rangers 2016 squad that should net him plenty of counting stats. My projections for 3016 are .250/82/5/49/37

40Billy Hamilton 25, CIN – Now here is an example of a player who has track star speed but no other major league ready skills. If Hamilton doesn’t figure out this whole “getting on base thing” he’s going to be playing ball in the independent league real soon. If i were him i would have spent the last 5 months learning how to bunt. If he could learn how to do that effectively along with a healthy increase in his walk rate, it could validate a lead off hitter role. At the very least a bunter/pinch running specialist. He just needs to stop swinging for the fences  “Hey Willie Mays Hayes put the ball on the ground” “Every time I see you hit the ball in the air you owe  Bryan Price 10 push ups” My projections for 2016 are .221/45/2/31/60